County 32433, NV · Census Tract 32433032985 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$929K
Downside (P10)
$655K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.25M
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.22M
+247% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +247%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 32433 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $929K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +16.1% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +14.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $773K | $731K | $643K | $655K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.5M | $2.6M | $2.8M | $3.2M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$800K to $1.75M
101.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$655K to $3.22M
206.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 032820 | $914K | $1.06M | +15.7% |
| Tract 032587 | $908K | $1.13M | +24.9% |
| Tract 032448 | $952K | $1.13M | +18.9% |
| Tract 032260 | $955K | $1.12M | +17.2% |
| Tract 043369 | $958K | $1.10M | +14.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 045406 | $1.14M | $2.08M | +83.0% |
| Tract 045367 | $1.10M | $1.90M | +73.6% |
| Tract 045341 | $1.07M | $1.80M | +67.9% |
| Tract 045082 | $1.10M | $1.78M | +62.6% |
| Tract 045888 | $1.60M | $2.57M | +60.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources