County 32432, NV · Census Tract 32432401083 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.36M
Downside (P10)
$471K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.69M
+25% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +25%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 32432 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | -3.9% | -13.3% | -8.6% | -1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $713K | $541K | $468K | $471K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$838K to $1.74M
66.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$471K to $1.69M
120.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 401960 | $1.38M | $1.09M | -21.0% |
| Tract 402082 | $1.38M | $1.06M | -23.4% |
| Tract 401407 | $1.38M | $1.05M | -23.9% |
| Tract 401520 | $1.42M | $1.17M | -17.9% |
| Tract 401986 | $1.27M | $920K | -27.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003287 | $152K | $235K | +55.3% |
| Tract 003216 | $148K | $199K | +34.9% |
| Tract 008868 | $1.83M | $1.84M | +0.5% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources