County 32382, NV · Census Tract 32382109464 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$195K
Downside (P10)
$173K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$299K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$485K
+148% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +148%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 32382 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $242K | $263K | $272K | $299K |
| YoY Change | +23.7% | +9.0% | +3.1% | +10.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $179K | $181K | $177K | $173K | |
| Upside (P90) | $352K | $411K | $434K | $485K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$164K to $254K
46.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$173K to $485K
104.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109529 | $195K | $277K | +42.0% |
| Tract 110602 | $194K | $243K | +24.9% |
| Tract 111025 | $194K | $269K | +38.7% |
| Tract 109244 | $193K | $305K | +58.4% |
| Tract 111342 | $193K | $236K | +22.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120948 | $219K | $405K | +85.0% |
| Tract 120469 | $216K | $392K | +81.5% |
| Tract 120702 | $211K | $369K | +74.8% |
| Tract 120841 | $219K | $373K | +70.1% |
| Tract 120207 | $218K | $368K | +69.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111342 | $193K | $236K | $134K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources