County 35760, NM · Census Tract 35760880001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$584K
Downside (P10)
$291K
-50% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$648K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.24M
+112% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -50% to +112%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 35760 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $584K | $626K | $612K | $632K | $648K |
| YoY Change | +7.2% | -2.1% | +3.2% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $374K | $331K | $304K | $291K | |
| Upside (P90) | $928K | $947K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$435K to $828K
67.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$291K to $1.24M
146.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160006 | $533K | $735K | +37.8% |
| Tract 840009 | $508K | $660K | +30.0% |
| Tract 320008 | $505K | $668K | +32.2% |
| Tract 480003 | $498K | $710K | +42.6% |
| Tract 520002 | $495K | $695K | +40.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 120004 | $424K | $640K | +51.0% |
| Tract 720006 | $434K | $639K | +47.4% |
| Tract 480003 | $498K | $710K | +42.6% |
| Tract 640005 | $480K | $682K | +42.1% |
| Tract 520002 | $495K | $695K | +40.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360000 | $472K | $651K | $434K |
| Tract 120004 | $424K | $640K | $435K |
| Tract 720006 | $434K | $639K | $558K |
| Tract 320008 | $505K | $668K | $636K |
| Tract 160006 | $533K | $735K | $679K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources