County 35451, NM · Census Tract 35451000886 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$693K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-42% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$694K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+64% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -42% to +64%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 35451 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $693K | $718K | $687K | $675K | $694K |
| YoY Change | +3.6% | -4.3% | -1.8% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $496K | $466K | $415K | $405K | |
| Upside (P90) | $981K | $969K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$567K to $893K
47.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$405K to $1.14M
105.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000640 | $697K | $695K | -0.3% |
| Tract 001047 | $705K | $748K | +6.1% |
| Tract 000909 | $678K | $680K | +0.4% |
| Tract 001283 | $669K | $722K | +8.0% |
| Tract 001348 | $634K | $750K | +18.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001348 | $634K | $750K | +18.2% |
| Tract 001322 | $580K | $648K | +11.7% |
| Tract 001283 | $669K | $722K | +8.0% |
| Tract 001047 | $705K | $748K | +6.1% |
| Tract 001186 | $585K | $589K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001186 | $585K | $589K | $579K |
| Tract 001283 | $669K | $722K | $678K |
| Tract 000909 | $678K | $680K | $762K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources