County 31134, NE · Census Tract 31134005461 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$442K
Downside (P10)
$268K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$581K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+146% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +146%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 31134 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $442K | $504K | $519K | $538K | $581K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +8.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $361K | $308K | $269K | $268K | |
| Upside (P90) | $747K | $813K | $969K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$382K to $566K
41.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$268K to $1.09M
141.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005445 | $442K | $598K | +35.2% |
| Tract 006004 | $442K | $558K | +26.3% |
| Tract 006143 | $443K | $597K | +34.8% |
| Tract 005542 | $443K | $590K | +33.2% |
| Tract 002260 | $442K | $578K | +31.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001740 | $431K | $636K | +47.5% |
| Tract 003201 | $452K | $647K | +43.2% |
| Tract 000440 | $437K | $625K | +43.0% |
| Tract 003227 | $457K | $650K | +42.3% |
| Tract 000880 | $439K | $619K | +40.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000482 | $444K | $598K | $431K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources