County 31417, NE · Census Tract 31417502050 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$795K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$735K
-8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.43M
+80% by 2030
Base case: -8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +80%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 31417 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $795K | $836K | $789K | $723K | $735K |
| YoY Change | +5.2% | -5.6% | -8.5% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $520K | $392K | $372K | $367K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$619K to $1.08M
58.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$367K to $1.43M
145.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502607 | $880K | $804K | -8.6% |
| Tract 501608 | $674K | $702K | +4.1% |
| Tract 502856 | $935K | $962K | +2.9% |
| Tract 501802 | $650K | $699K | +7.4% |
| Tract 502102 | $599K | $589K | -1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501954 | $279K | $390K | +39.9% |
| Tract 501802 | $650K | $699K | +7.4% |
| Tract 501608 | $674K | $702K | +4.1% |
| Tract 502555 | $593K | $615K | +3.7% |
| Tract 502856 | $935K | $962K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501954 | $279K | $390K | $279K |
| Tract 502856 | $935K | $962K | $606K |
| Tract 502555 | $593K | $615K | $756K |
| Tract 501802 | $650K | $699K | $784K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources