County 38165, ND · Census Tract 38165560004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$897K
Downside (P10)
$463K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$900K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.57M
+75% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +75%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 38165 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $897K | $926K | $928K | $881K | $900K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +0.1% | -5.0% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $667K | $584K | $556K | $463K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$726K to $1.14M
45.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$463K to $1.57M
122.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880001 | $886K | $1.02M | +14.9% |
| Tract 520002 | $861K | $704K | -18.2% |
| Tract 680007 | $779K | $840K | +7.9% |
| Tract 760008 | $637K | $710K | +11.5% |
| Tract 000001 | $1.16M | $1.55M | +33.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000001 | $1.16M | $1.55M | +33.0% |
| Tract 880001 | $886K | $1.02M | +14.9% |
| Tract 760008 | $637K | $710K | +11.5% |
| Tract 680007 | $779K | $840K | +7.9% |
| Tract 520002 | $861K | $704K | -18.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880001 | $886K | $1.02M | $581K |
| Tract 760008 | $637K | $710K | $857K |
| Tract 680007 | $779K | $840K | $894K |
| Tract 520002 | $861K | $704K | $950K |
| Tract 000001 | $1.16M | $1.55M | $951K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources