County 38102, ND · Census Tract 38102760003 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.07M
Downside (P10)
$1.09M
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.46M
+36% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.86M
+73% by 2030
Base case: +36% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +73%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 38102 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | +4.7% | +8.6% | +9.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $991K | $1.1M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$977K to $1.20M
20.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.09M to $1.86M
52.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520007 | $1.13M | $879K | -21.9% |
| Tract 400004 | $979K | $835K | -14.7% |
| Tract 320003 | $1.35M | $965K | -28.4% |
| Tract 680002 | $704K | $772K | +9.6% |
| Tract 040008 | $619K | $890K | +43.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040008 | $619K | $890K | +43.7% |
| Tract 200000 | $549K | $684K | +24.5% |
| Tract 680002 | $704K | $772K | +9.6% |
| Tract 400004 | $979K | $835K | -14.7% |
| Tract 520007 | $1.13M | $879K | -21.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040008 | $619K | $890K | $536K |
| Tract 200000 | $549K | $684K | $738K |
| Tract 680002 | $704K | $772K | $868K |
| Tract 400004 | $979K | $835K | $907K |
| Tract 600008 | $1.76M | $1.25M | $1.14M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources