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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27615 · Census Tract 37183054016 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$438K
Downside (P10)
$356K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$474K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$675K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $234K | $234K | $242K | $260K | $274K | $305K | $324K | $361K | $394K | $430K | $438K | $456K | $462K | $474K | $447K |
| YoY Change | +0.3% | +3.2% | +7.4% | +5.5% | +11.2% | +6.2% | +11.7% | +9.1% | +9.1% | +1.8% | +4.0% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -5.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $379K | $347K | $356K | $395K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $549K | $612K | $675K | $514K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$379K to $549K
37.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$395K to $514K
26.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $438K | $474K | +8.1% | |
| Middle Creek | $438K | $482K | +10.0% | |
| House Creek | $438K | $470K | +7.3% | |
| Wake Forest (Tract 054214) | $438K | $436K | -0.4% | |
| Wake Forest (Tract 054120) | $436K | $500K | +14.6% | |
| Raleigh | $440K | $474K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $438K | $474K | +8.1% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh | $438K | $474K | $319K | |
| Marks Creek | $272K | $291K | $124K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Little River | $249K | $250K | $131K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.