County 37690, NC · Census Tract 37690220001 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$649K
Downside (P10)
$346K
-47% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$670K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+78% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -47% to +78%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37690 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $649K | $682K | $666K | $639K | $670K |
| YoY Change | +5.1% | -2.4% | -4.0% | +5.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $449K | $379K | $330K | $346K | |
| Upside (P90) | $992K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$496K to $918K
65.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$346K to $1.15M
120.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520002 | $662K | $772K | +16.6% |
| Tract 760008 | $762K | $1.04M | +36.2% |
| Tract 880001 | $460K | $509K | +10.6% |
| Tract 560004 | $396K | $524K | +32.2% |
| Tract 680007 | $392K | $564K | +43.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400009 | $87K | $129K | +48.8% |
| Tract 680007 | $392K | $564K | +43.8% |
| Tract 360000 | $215K | $305K | +41.7% |
| Tract 760008 | $762K | $1.04M | +36.2% |
| Tract 560004 | $396K | $524K | +32.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400009 | $87K | $129K | $142K |
| Tract 360000 | $215K | $305K | $263K |
| Tract 081004 | $291K | $370K | $269K |
| Tract 680007 | $392K | $564K | $315K |
| Tract 760008 | $762K | $1.04M | $547K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources