County 37018, NC · Census Tract 37018060005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$508K
Downside (P10)
$287K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$551K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.01M
+98% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +98%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 37018 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $508K | $539K | $539K | $531K | $551K |
| YoY Change | +6.0% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $304K | $259K | $287K | |
| Upside (P90) | $756K | $833K | $895K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$399K to $664K
52.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$287K to $1.01M
130.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040009 | $596K | $601K | +0.9% |
| Tract 080001 | $612K | $654K | +6.8% |
| Tract 160002 | $372K | $512K | +37.8% |
| Tract 480009 | $239K | $349K | +46.4% |
| Tract 240003 | $781K | $1.14M | +46.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240003 | $781K | $1.14M | +46.4% |
| Tract 480009 | $239K | $349K | +46.4% |
| Tract 760004 | $852K | $1.23M | +44.6% |
| Tract 020003 | $229K | $329K | +43.6% |
| Tract 160002 | $372K | $512K | +37.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020003 | $229K | $329K | $229K |
| Tract 480009 | $239K | $349K | $297K |
| Tract 920006 | $845K | $1.12M | $549K |
| Tract 160002 | $372K | $512K | $567K |
| Tract 040009 | $596K | $601K | $679K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources