What is the home price forecast for Tract 320001?

Homecastr forecasts Tract 320001 median home values at $89,572 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 46.6%.

How confident is the Tract 320001 forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $73,216 (downside) to $262,551 (upside), with a spread of 144% of median.

Tract 320001 Home Price Forecast

County 30681, MT · Census Tract 30681320001 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$90K

Downside (P10)

$73K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$131K

+47% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$263K

+193% by 2030

Base case: +47% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +193%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 30681 markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$90K	$108K	$108K	$115K	$131K
YoY Change		+20.6%	+0.3%	+6.2%	+14.1%
Downside (P10)		$80K	$73K	$71K	$73K
Upside (P90)		$182K	$191K	$214K	$263K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.

1-Year Spread

$75K to $123K

54.5% of median

5-Year Spread

$73K to $263K

144.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +46.6% · Spread: 144%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The wider-than-average range suggests more uncertainty about the trajectory — consider both upside and downside scenarios.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 680000	$88K	$129K	+46.4%
Tract 200008	$87K	$131K	+51.0%
Tract 120007	$72K	$111K	+53.7%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Tract 120007	$72K	$111K	+53.7%
Tract 200008	$87K	$131K	+51.0%
Tract 680000	$88K	$129K	+46.4%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Tract 200008	$87K	$131K	$140K
Tract 120007	$72K	$111K	$151K
Tract 680000	$88K	$129K	$158K

Location

Tract 320001 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).