County 30084, MT · Census Tract 30084001040 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.11M
Downside (P10)
$399K
-64% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$829K
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.45M
+31% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -64% to +31%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 30084 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.0M | $895K | $821K | $829K |
| YoY Change | -7.5% | -12.6% | -8.3% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $569K | $474K | $391K | $399K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$721K to $1.40M
61.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$399K to $1.45M
126.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000562 | $1.09M | $756K | -30.6% |
| Tract 000928 | $1.17M | $830K | -29.1% |
| Tract 001066 | $1.18M | $853K | -27.9% |
| Tract 001341 | $1.23M | $987K | -20.0% |
| Tract 001642 | $1.24M | $954K | -23.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000229 | $731K | $645K | -11.8% |
| Tract 000180 | $804K | $651K | -19.1% |
| Tract 001341 | $1.23M | $987K | -20.0% |
| Tract 000083 | $764K | $604K | -20.8% |
| Tract 001642 | $1.24M | $954K | -23.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000229 | $731K | $645K | $749K |
| Tract 000180 | $804K | $651K | $751K |
| Tract 000326 | $960K | $732K | $864K |
| Tract 000562 | $1.09M | $756K | $875K |
| Tract 000083 | $764K | $604K | $908K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources