County 28623, MS · Census Tract 28623750641 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$348K
Downside (P10)
$261K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$417K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+78% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +78%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28623 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $348K | $378K | $378K | $391K | $417K |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | -0.1% | +3.6% | +6.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $293K | $251K | $250K | $261K | |
| Upside (P90) | $461K | $494K | $551K | $621K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$301K to $423K
34.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$261K to $621K
86.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750104 | $351K | $442K | +25.8% |
| Tract 750586 | $352K | $440K | +25.1% |
| Tract 750227 | $356K | $426K | +19.6% |
| Tract 750285 | $358K | $462K | +29.3% |
| Tract 750447 | $376K | $445K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750081 | $378K | $513K | +35.7% |
| Tract 750285 | $358K | $462K | +29.3% |
| Tract 750104 | $351K | $442K | +25.8% |
| Tract 750586 | $352K | $440K | +25.1% |
| Tract 750683 | $379K | $469K | +23.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 750104 | $351K | $442K | $397K |
| Tract 750065 | $385K | $461K | $409K |
| Tract 750243 | $410K | $473K | $417K |
| Tract 750227 | $356K | $426K | $442K |
| Tract 750586 | $352K | $440K | $443K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources