County 28605, MS · Census Tract 28605000885 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$403K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-39% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$447K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$741K
+84% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -39% to +84%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28605 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $403K | $424K | $423K | $417K | $447K |
| YoY Change | +5.0% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $304K | $249K | $233K | $244K | |
| Upside (P90) | $559K | $604K | $616K | $741K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$337K to $495K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$244K to $741K
111.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000607 | $404K | $478K | +18.4% |
| Tract 000267 | $406K | $475K | +16.8% |
| Tract 000827 | $409K | $466K | +13.9% |
| Tract 000063 | $391K | $494K | +26.4% |
| Tract 000461 | $363K | $484K | +33.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000461 | $363K | $484K | +33.3% |
| Tract 000063 | $391K | $494K | +26.4% |
| Tract 000607 | $404K | $478K | +18.4% |
| Tract 000267 | $406K | $475K | +16.8% |
| Tract 000843 | $357K | $411K | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000843 | $357K | $411K | $368K |
| Tract 000461 | $363K | $484K | $431K |
| Tract 000267 | $406K | $475K | $467K |
| Tract 000063 | $391K | $494K | $480K |
| Tract 000827 | $409K | $466K | $498K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources