County 28535, MS · Census Tract 28535160002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$592K
Downside (P10)
$371K
-37% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$672K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+95% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -37% to +95%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28535 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $592K | $643K | $626K | $639K | $672K |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | -2.6% | +2.1% | +5.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $473K | $400K | $359K | $371K | |
| Upside (P90) | $934K | $980K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$482K to $777K
50.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $1.16M
116.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | -1.1% |
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | +1.6% |
| Tract 840005 | $569K | $645K | +13.3% |
| Tract 000007 | $617K | $674K | +9.2% |
| Tract 680003 | $555K | $567K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 080001 | $521K | $610K | +17.0% |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | +14.9% |
| Tract 840005 | $569K | $645K | +13.3% |
| Tract 000007 | $617K | $674K | +9.2% |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 720002 | $595K | $588K | $586K |
| Tract 680003 | $555K | $567K | $767K |
| Tract 200001 | $581K | $591K | $776K |
| Tract 360006 | $536K | $616K | $779K |
| Tract 760004 | $546K | $574K | $781K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources