County 28278, MS · Census Tract 28278048164 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$408K
Downside (P10)
$286K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$520K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$802K
+97% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +97%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28278 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $408K | $449K | $457K | $477K | $520K |
| YoY Change | +10.0% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $293K | $291K | $258K | $286K | |
| Upside (P90) | $605K | $646K | $689K | $802K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$342K to $521K
43.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$286K to $802K
99.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 047000 | $408K | $542K | +32.6% |
| Tract 048685 | $406K | $485K | +19.5% |
| Tract 047521 | $410K | $534K | +30.2% |
| Tract 048180 | $405K | $463K | +14.3% |
| Tract 046946 | $405K | $494K | +22.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 437843 | $306K | $444K | +45.2% |
| Tract 437649 | $295K | $424K | +43.8% |
| Tract 437801 | $309K | $437K | +41.5% |
| Tract 437584 | $293K | $407K | +38.9% |
| Tract 048627 | $429K | $582K | +35.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 437568 | $314K | $425K | $322K |
| Tract 437584 | $293K | $407K | $323K |
| Tract 437801 | $309K | $437K | $341K |
| Tract 437665 | $317K | $426K | $344K |
| Tract 437649 | $295K | $424K | $346K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources