County 28276, MS · Census Tract 28276875300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$285K
Downside (P10)
$274K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$397K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$594K
+109% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +109%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 28276 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $324K | $344K | $365K | $397K |
| YoY Change | +13.9% | +6.1% | +6.2% | +8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $268K | $260K | $260K | $274K | |
| Upside (P90) | $421K | $464K | $519K | $594K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$253K to $339K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$274K to $594K
80.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 875368 | $288K | $379K | +31.4% |
| Tract 875481 | $291K | $392K | +35.0% |
| Tract 875083 | $270K | $390K | +44.8% |
| Tract 875229 | $264K | $367K | +39.1% |
| Tract 875449 | $264K | $392K | +48.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 875449 | $264K | $392K | +48.8% |
| Tract 875180 | $242K | $352K | +45.5% |
| Tract 875083 | $270K | $390K | +44.8% |
| Tract 875229 | $264K | $367K | +39.1% |
| Tract 875245 | $257K | $347K | +35.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 875083 | $270K | $390K | $260K |
| Tract 875449 | $264K | $392K | $265K |
| Tract 875245 | $257K | $347K | $275K |
| Tract 875180 | $242K | $352K | $281K |
| Tract 875229 | $264K | $367K | $295K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources