County 29923, MO · Census Tract 29923001866 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.53M
Downside (P10)
$1.38M
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.93M
+26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.53M
+65% by 2030
Base case: +26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +65%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 29923 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | +2.3% | +7.9% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.4M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.3M | $2.5M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.39M to $1.69M
19.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.38M to $2.53M
59.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001701 | $1.51M | $2.05M | +35.9% |
| Tract 001882 | $1.58M | $2.11M | +33.8% |
| Tract 001028 | $1.22M | $1.49M | +22.3% |
| Tract 001662 | $1.18M | $1.59M | +34.3% |
| Tract 001206 | $1.18M | $1.68M | +42.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000443 | $654K | $969K | +48.3% |
| Tract 000333 | $182K | $262K | +43.9% |
| Tract 001206 | $1.18M | $1.68M | +42.3% |
| Tract 001701 | $1.51M | $2.05M | +35.9% |
| Tract 001662 | $1.18M | $1.59M | +34.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000333 | $182K | $262K | $247K |
| Tract 000443 | $654K | $969K | $610K |
| Tract 001109 | $1.16M | $1.47M | $861K |
| Tract 001662 | $1.18M | $1.59M | $973K |
| Tract 001206 | $1.18M | $1.68M | $1.03M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources