County 29820, MO · Census Tract 29820100462 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.10M
Downside (P10)
$620K
-44% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.08M
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.92M
+74% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -44% to +74%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29820 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | -7.3% | -6.4% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $859K | $728K | $612K | $620K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$911K to $1.62M
64.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$620K to $1.92M
120.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 102729 | $1.10M | $1.22M | +10.6% |
| Tract 104400 | $1.10M | $1.43M | +29.2% |
| Tract 102305 | $1.09M | $1.23M | +12.7% |
| Tract 108189 | $1.09M | $1.43M | +31.3% |
| Tract 102525 | $1.08M | $895K | -17.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 108927 | $769K | $1.16M | +51.5% |
| Tract 108503 | $812K | $1.22M | +50.4% |
| Tract 108480 | $796K | $1.18M | +48.1% |
| Tract 108464 | $777K | $1.12M | +44.7% |
| Tract 108684 | $699K | $1.01M | +44.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources