County 29817, MO · Census Tract 29817009961 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$798K
Downside (P10)
$826K
+4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.10M
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.43M
+79% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from +4% to +79%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 29817 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $798K | $897K | $955K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +12.5% | +6.4% | +4.9% | +9.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $771K | $783K | $804K | $826K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$718K to $929K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$826K to $1.43M
54.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002133 | $797K | $1.06M | +32.7% |
| Tract 003682 | $796K | $811K | +1.9% |
| Tract 019320 | $791K | $1.08M | +36.6% |
| Tract 013986 | $785K | $1.11M | +41.7% |
| Tract 019647 | $810K | $1.03M | +27.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 012521 | $490K | $882K | +80.2% |
| Tract 010442 | $608K | $1.03M | +70.1% |
| Tract 032323 | $100K | $163K | +63.6% |
| Tract 012343 | $558K | $908K | +62.7% |
| Tract 012602 | $568K | $923K | +62.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources