County 29360, MO · Census Tract 29360001584 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.36M
Downside (P10)
$649K
-52% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.07M
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.87M
+38% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -52% to +38%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29360 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -1.0% | -11.1% | -8.2% | -2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $868K | $684K | $637K | $649K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.08M to $1.76M
50.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$649K to $1.87M
114.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001403 | $1.36M | $1.03M | -24.3% |
| Tract 002143 | $1.35M | $1.13M | -16.1% |
| Tract 002208 | $1.35M | $1.04M | -22.5% |
| Tract 001924 | $1.38M | $1.10M | -20.2% |
| Tract 002389 | $1.40M | $1.07M | -23.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000763 | $1.03M | $893K | -13.3% |
| Tract 000365 | $992K | $856K | -13.7% |
| Tract 000488 | $1.03M | $878K | -14.4% |
| Tract 002143 | $1.35M | $1.13M | -16.1% |
| Tract 000569 | $1.13M | $942K | -16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001403 | $1.36M | $1.03M | $802K |
| Tract 000569 | $1.13M | $942K | $882K |
| Tract 001225 | $1.12M | $893K | $921K |
| Tract 000488 | $1.03M | $878K | $931K |
| Tract 001762 | $1.68M | $1.35M | $933K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources