County 29698, MO · Census Tract 29698000943 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$406K
Downside (P10)
$339K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$620K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+222% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +222%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29698 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $406K | $500K | $535K | $553K | $620K |
| YoY Change | +23.2% | +7.1% | +3.2% | +12.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $369K | $355K | $335K | $339K | |
| Upside (P90) | $806K | $940K | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$330K to $600K
66.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$339K to $1.30M
155.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000341 | $397K | $521K | +31.4% |
| Tract 000804 | $416K | $662K | +59.0% |
| Tract 001120 | $417K | $613K | +46.9% |
| Tract 001667 | $424K | $633K | +49.5% |
| Tract 001829 | $380K | $522K | +37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000804 | $416K | $662K | +59.0% |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | +55.9% |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | +52.6% |
| Tract 002242 | $270K | $408K | +51.3% |
| Tract 000202 | $279K | $422K | +51.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002161 | $264K | $398K | $270K |
| Tract 002187 | $266K | $395K | $276K |
| Tract 002349 | $262K | $409K | $290K |
| Tract 002200 | $267K | $395K | $292K |
| Tract 002404 | $277K | $423K | $304K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources