County 29505, MO · Census Tract 29505005206 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.54M
Downside (P10)
$682K
-56% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.22M
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.10M
+36% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -56% to +36%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29505 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | -2.0% | -13.2% | -9.0% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $769K | $664K | $682K | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $2.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.22M to $1.82M
38.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$682K to $2.10M
116.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005154 | $1.59M | $1.14M | -28.2% |
| Tract 004605 | $1.49M | $1.20M | -19.6% |
| Tract 007453 | $1.48M | $1.11M | -25.1% |
| Tract 003703 | $1.47M | $1.08M | -26.2% |
| Tract 004155 | $1.46M | $1.19M | -18.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004757 | $1.16M | $1.10M | -5.2% |
| Tract 005251 | $1.41M | $1.29M | -8.9% |
| Tract 011151 | $1.15M | $1.02M | -11.3% |
| Tract 003606 | $1.13M | $999K | -11.8% |
| Tract 009202 | $1.21M | $1.06M | -12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 010259 | $1.26M | $1.02M | $1.01M |
| Tract 002652 | $1.03M | $825K | $1.03M |
| Tract 003606 | $1.13M | $999K | $1.03M |
| Tract 011151 | $1.15M | $1.02M | $1.09M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources