County 29381, MO · Census Tract 29381640005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$345K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$662K
-3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+70% by 2030
Base case: -3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +70%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 29381 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $684K | $696K | $651K | $615K | $662K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | -6.4% | -5.6% | +7.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $452K | $384K | $343K | $345K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$540K to $902K
52.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$345K to $1.17M
123.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520002 | $671K | $711K | +5.9% |
| Tract 840009 | $876K | $813K | -7.3% |
| Tract 360000 | $881K | $807K | -8.4% |
| Tract 320008 | $959K | $913K | -4.8% |
| Tract 080005 | $1.16M | $1.07M | -7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520002 | $671K | $711K | +5.9% |
| Tract 320008 | $959K | $913K | -4.8% |
| Tract 840009 | $876K | $813K | -7.3% |
| Tract 080005 | $1.16M | $1.07M | -7.3% |
| Tract 360000 | $881K | $807K | -8.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840009 | $876K | $813K | $909K |
| Tract 360000 | $881K | $807K | $961K |
| Tract 520002 | $671K | $711K | $961K |
| Tract 080005 | $1.16M | $1.07M | $1.02M |
| Tract 320008 | $959K | $913K | $1.03M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources