County 29268, MO · Census Tract 29268002041 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$435K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$517K
+19% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$879K
+102% by 2030
Base case: +19% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +102%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 29268 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $435K | $465K | $464K | $471K | $517K |
| YoY Change | +6.8% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +9.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $348K | $315K | $322K | $338K | |
| Upside (P90) | $637K | $726K | $771K | $879K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$363K to $564K
46.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$338K to $879K
104.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002148 | $435K | $508K | +16.7% |
| Tract 001741 | $436K | $511K | +17.3% |
| Tract 001068 | $434K | $520K | +19.9% |
| Tract 000441 | $434K | $558K | +28.6% |
| Tract 001806 | $433K | $518K | +19.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000247 | $438K | $581K | +32.6% |
| Tract 000522 | $423K | $559K | +31.9% |
| Tract 001301 | $440K | $577K | +31.0% |
| Tract 000784 | $462K | $600K | +30.1% |
| Tract 002449 | $452K | $585K | +29.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001806 | $433K | $518K | $445K |
| Tract 002423 | $432K | $537K | $451K |
| Tract 001602 | $439K | $524K | $454K |
| Tract 000946 | $433K | $527K | $460K |
| Tract 001408 | $446K | $542K | $462K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources