County 27910, MN · Census Tract 27910000487 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$756K
Downside (P10)
$342K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$684K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+48% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to +48%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27910 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $756K | $766K | $704K | $661K | $684K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | -8.1% | -6.2% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $459K | $403K | $337K | $342K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$601K to $971K
48.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$342K to $1.12M
113.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000209 | $757K | $687K | -9.2% |
| Tract 000607 | $760K | $571K | -24.8% |
| Tract 000429 | $741K | $647K | -12.6% |
| Tract 000681 | $773K | $671K | -13.1% |
| Tract 000827 | $774K | $646K | -16.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000924 | $814K | $1.06M | +29.7% |
| Tract 000843 | $920K | $1.11M | +20.2% |
| Tract 000403 | $862K | $820K | -5.0% |
| Tract 000209 | $757K | $687K | -9.2% |
| Tract 000241 | $715K | $632K | -11.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000283 | $727K | $574K | $618K |
| Tract 000429 | $741K | $647K | $714K |
| Tract 000843 | $920K | $1.11M | $730K |
| Tract 000924 | $814K | $1.06M | $778K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources