County 27895, MN · Census Tract 27895001284 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.62M
Downside (P10)
$1.27M
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.64M
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.02M
+24% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +24%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 27895 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
| YoY Change | +6.7% | -3.7% | -1.2% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.51M to $1.81M
18.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.27M to $2.02M
45.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001365 | $1.59M | $1.72M | +8.0% |
| Tract 001268 | $1.65M | $1.58M | -4.0% |
| Tract 002403 | $1.74M | $2.48M | +42.4% |
| Tract 001682 | $1.76M | $2.06M | +17.2% |
| Tract 001763 | $1.76M | $2.00M | +13.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002364 | $1.34M | $1.92M | +43.1% |
| Tract 002403 | $1.74M | $2.48M | +42.4% |
| Tract 001543 | $1.28M | $1.70M | +32.9% |
| Tract 002186 | $1.36M | $1.80M | +32.5% |
| Tract 002380 | $1.76M | $2.29M | +30.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001268 | $1.65M | $1.58M | $707K |
| Tract 001404 | $1.24M | $1.47M | $871K |
| Tract 001721 | $1.35M | $1.61M | $1.02M |
| Tract 001789 | $1.35M | $1.74M | $1.07M |
| Tract 001365 | $1.59M | $1.72M | $1.12M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources