County 27800, MN · Census Tract 27800004658 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$946K
Downside (P10)
$805K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.15M
+22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.60M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +70%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27800 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $946K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +17.7% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $887K | $848K | $827K | $805K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$840K to $1.13M
31.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$805K to $1.60M
69.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006054 | $1.05M | $1.22M | +16.2% |
| Tract 002456 | $824K | $868K | +5.4% |
| Tract 005204 | $806K | $959K | +19.0% |
| Tract 005000 | $796K | $914K | +14.8% |
| Tract 005107 | $743K | $944K | +27.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005903 | $652K | $888K | +36.2% |
| Tract 006355 | $670K | $888K | +32.5% |
| Tract 005107 | $743K | $944K | +27.0% |
| Tract 004302 | $546K | $677K | +24.0% |
| Tract 005204 | $806K | $959K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006355 | $670K | $888K | $562K |
| Tract 004807 | $685K | $807K | $564K |
| Tract 005000 | $796K | $914K | $572K |
| Tract 005903 | $652K | $888K | $620K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources