County 27740, MN · Census Tract 27740000929 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$493K
Downside (P10)
$441K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$590K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$790K
+60% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +60%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 27740 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $493K | $518K | $505K | $568K | $590K |
| YoY Change | +5.0% | -2.4% | +12.5% | +3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $421K | $407K | $434K | $441K | |
| Upside (P90) | $623K | $642K | $761K | $790K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$428K to $584K
31.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$441K to $790K
59.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001106 | $491K | $578K | +17.9% |
| Tract 000644 | $490K | $590K | +20.2% |
| Tract 000880 | $489K | $521K | +6.4% |
| Tract 001067 | $482K | $566K | +17.5% |
| Tract 001300 | $478K | $559K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000042 | $713K | $1.21M | +70.1% |
| Tract 000424 | $663K | $1.05M | +58.4% |
| Tract 000026 | $657K | $1.02M | +55.9% |
| Tract 000806 | $586K | $750K | +27.9% |
| Tract 000644 | $490K | $590K | +20.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000848 | $477K | $533K | $343K |
| Tract 000644 | $490K | $590K | $345K |
| Tract 001067 | $482K | $566K | $351K |
| Tract 000880 | $489K | $521K | $361K |
| Tract 001106 | $491K | $578K | $366K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources