County 27410, MN · Census Tract 27410000165 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$349K
Downside (P10)
$257K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$435K
+25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$687K
+97% by 2030
Base case: +25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +97%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 27410 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $349K | $378K | $383K | $397K | $435K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $278K | $256K | $253K | $257K | |
| Upside (P90) | $509K | $563K | $594K | $687K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$296K to $434K
39.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$257K to $687K
98.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000563 | $348K | $436K | +25.2% |
| Tract 000181 | $348K | $459K | +31.8% |
| Tract 001067 | $348K | $393K | +12.9% |
| Tract 000961 | $351K | $431K | +22.9% |
| Tract 000084 | $341K | $444K | +30.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 003104 | $366K | $533K | +45.8% |
| Tract 003065 | $322K | $457K | +41.9% |
| Tract 001669 | $305K | $419K | +37.5% |
| Tract 000181 | $348K | $459K | +31.8% |
| Tract 000547 | $387K | $507K | +31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001067 | $348K | $393K | $347K |
| Tract 003065 | $322K | $457K | $370K |
| Tract 001669 | $305K | $419K | $373K |
| Tract 000961 | $351K | $431K | $421K |
| Tract 000482 | $338K | $426K | $427K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources