County 27220, MN · Census Tract 27220000805 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$679K
Downside (P10)
$316K
-53% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$615K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+92% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -53% to +92%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 27220 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $679K | $660K | $614K | $605K | $615K |
| YoY Change | -2.7% | -7.1% | -1.4% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $400K | $314K | $307K | $316K | |
| Upside (P90) | $938K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$515K to $886K
54.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$316K to $1.30M
160.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001448 | $682K | $659K | -3.3% |
| Tract 000148 | $675K | $588K | -13.0% |
| Tract 000481 | $673K | $601K | -10.7% |
| Tract 001765 | $671K | $605K | -9.9% |
| Tract 001749 | $671K | $590K | -12.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000326 | $600K | $729K | +21.6% |
| Tract 000025 | $621K | $714K | +15.1% |
| Tract 000685 | $618K | $707K | +14.4% |
| Tract 000287 | $633K | $719K | +13.6% |
| Tract 001082 | $646K | $733K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001642 | $625K | $664K | $683K |
| Tract 001749 | $671K | $590K | $703K |
| Tract 000588 | $638K | $655K | $705K |
| Tract 000601 | $613K | $680K | $717K |
| Tract 000203 | $651K | $654K | $720K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources