County 26169, MI · Census Tract 26169500564 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$1.15M
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.40M
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.81M
+28% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +28%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 26169 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +10.8% | -5.3% | -9.1% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.30M to $1.65M
24.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.15M to $1.81M
47.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500700 | $1.43M | $1.56M | +9.1% |
| Tract 500386 | $1.28M | $1.27M | -0.9% |
| Tract 502067 | $1.18M | $1.56M | +32.4% |
| Tract 501042 | $1.81M | $1.28M | -29.4% |
| Tract 501945 | $1.01M | $1.48M | +45.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500247 | $617K | $923K | +49.6% |
| Tract 501945 | $1.01M | $1.48M | +45.8% |
| Tract 500441 | $783K | $1.12M | +43.6% |
| Tract 500483 | $815K | $1.16M | +42.5% |
| Tract 502164 | $940K | $1.34M | +42.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500386 | $1.28M | $1.27M | $852K |
| Tract 500247 | $617K | $923K | $856K |
| Tract 500441 | $783K | $1.12M | $887K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources