County 26142, MI · Census Tract 26142501221 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$268K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$435K
+26% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$648K
+88% by 2030
Base case: +26% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +88%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 26142 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $345K | $381K | $385K | $398K | $435K |
| YoY Change | +10.4% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +9.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $292K | $256K | $250K | $268K | |
| Upside (P90) | $502K | $544K | $572K | $648K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$298K to $413K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$268K to $648K
87.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501108 | $341K | $427K | +25.2% |
| Tract 501001 | $349K | $440K | +26.1% |
| Tract 500248 | $350K | $467K | +33.5% |
| Tract 501124 | $350K | $442K | +26.1% |
| Tract 500345 | $339K | $485K | +43.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 500484 | $333K | $509K | +53.1% |
| Tract 500125 | $268K | $399K | +48.9% |
| Tract 500701 | $267K | $395K | +48.1% |
| Tract 501409 | $265K | $390K | +47.3% |
| Tract 500044 | $317K | $465K | +46.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501344 | $273K | $383K | $277K |
| Tract 500222 | $264K | $382K | $287K |
| Tract 501409 | $265K | $390K | $288K |
| Tract 500921 | $283K | $393K | $299K |
| Tract 501823 | $276K | $383K | $303K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources