Alcona, MI · ZIP 48745 · Census Tract 26001970400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$132K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$171K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$238K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +56%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Alcona markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $85K | $83K | $88K | $101K | $103K | $108K | $132K | $139K | $149K | $151K | $153K | $156K | $165K | $171K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | -2.2% | +5.9% | +14.7% | +1.8% | +5.2% | +22.4% | +5.4% | +7.3% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +5.5% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $139K | $132K | $136K | $132K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $180K | $199K | $215K | $238K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$144K to $162K
11.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$132K to $238K
62.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenbush | $178K | $188K | +5.9% |
| Haynes area | $180K | $197K | +9.5% |
| Mitchell area | $117K | $122K | +4.3% |
| Alcona area | $231K | $256K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcona area | $231K | $256K | +11.1% |
| Haynes area | $180K | $197K | +9.5% |
| Greenbush | $178K | $188K | +5.9% |
| Mitchell area | $117K | $122K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell area | $117K | $122K | $73K |
| Haynes area | $180K | $197K | $88K |
| Greenbush | $178K | $188K | $103K |
| Alcona area | $231K | $256K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources