County 23470, ME · Census Tract 23470760009 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.40M
Downside (P10)
$649K
-54% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.10M
-22% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+9% by 2030
Base case: -22% by 2030, with a forecast range from -54% to +9%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 23470 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | -0.7% | -13.3% | -7.9% | -1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $980K | $752K | $638K | $649K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.10M to $1.61M
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$649K to $1.53M
80.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520003 | $1.44M | $1.18M | -17.9% |
| Tract 920001 | $1.20M | $924K | -23.0% |
| Tract 560005 | $1.20M | $934K | -22.0% |
| Tract 200006 | $1.16M | $886K | -23.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520003 | $1.44M | $1.18M | -17.9% |
| Tract 560005 | $1.20M | $934K | -22.0% |
| Tract 920001 | $1.20M | $924K | -23.0% |
| Tract 200006 | $1.16M | $886K | -23.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920001 | $1.20M | $924K | $753K |
| Tract 560005 | $1.20M | $934K | $859K |
| Tract 200006 | $1.16M | $886K | $931K |
| Tract 520003 | $1.44M | $1.18M | $1.17M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources