County 23896, ME · Census Tract 23896502809 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.43M
Downside (P10)
$2.30M
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$3.25M
-27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.91M
-12% by 2030
Base case: -27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to -12%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 23896 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.4M | $4.6M | $4.1M | $3.4M | $3.3M |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | -11.9% | -17.1% | -3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.8M | $2.9M | $2.4M | $2.3M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.1M | $4.6M | $3.9M | $3.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.98M to $4.76M
17.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.30M to $3.91M
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 502867 | $3.89M | $2.82M | -27.4% |
| Tract 502906 | $4.98M | $3.62M | -27.4% |
| Tract 502566 | $3.67M | $2.85M | -22.3% |
| Tract 502689 | $3.60M | $2.73M | -24.4% |
| Tract 502621 | $3.38M | $2.56M | -24.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 804183 | $589K | $859K | +45.8% |
| Tract 804701 | $563K | $800K | +42.0% |
| Tract 804400 | $614K | $869K | +41.5% |
| Tract 804565 | $496K | $697K | +40.6% |
| Tract 805564 | $973K | $1.37M | +40.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources