County 23095, ME · Census Tract 23095002401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.71M
Downside (P10)
$1.15M
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.02M
-25% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.27M
+21% by 2030
Base case: -25% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +21%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 23095 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.8M | $2.3M | $2.1M | $2.0M |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | -15.4% | -11.6% | -2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.6M | $3.4M | $3.2M | $3.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.91M to $3.35M
52.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.15M to $3.27M
104.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001606 | $2.68M | $1.89M | -29.7% |
| Tract 001305 | $2.60M | $1.69M | -35.1% |
| Tract 002951 | $2.58M | $3.51M | +35.9% |
| Tract 002100 | $2.24M | $1.67M | -25.6% |
| Tract 000102 | $3.30M | $2.17M | -34.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002951 | $2.58M | $3.51M | +35.9% |
| Tract 002100 | $2.24M | $1.67M | -25.6% |
| Tract 001606 | $2.68M | $1.89M | -29.7% |
| Tract 001402 | $3.48M | $2.44M | -29.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001208 | $1.46M | $993K | $871K |
| Tract 000306 | $3.64M | $2.35M | $1.11M |
| Tract 001305 | $2.60M | $1.69M | $1.18M |
| Tract 000607 | $4.15M | $2.59M | $1.21M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources