County 24995, MD · Census Tract 24995001404 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$738K
Downside (P10)
$789K
+7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.09M
+48% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.62M
+119% by 2030
Base case: +48% by 2030, with a forecast range from +7% to +119%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24995 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $738K | $871K | $906K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
| YoY Change | +18.1% | +4.0% | +11.2% | +8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $720K | $707K | $744K | $789K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$662K to $885K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$789K to $1.62M
76.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001365 | $743K | $1.10M | +48.1% |
| Tract 001284 | $728K | $924K | +27.0% |
| Tract 000269 | $704K | $991K | +40.7% |
| Tract 000942 | $773K | $1.17M | +51.7% |
| Tract 000421 | $701K | $1.07M | +52.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001349 | $583K | $981K | +68.1% |
| Tract 000764 | $642K | $1.00M | +56.6% |
| Tract 000803 | $904K | $1.40M | +54.4% |
| Tract 000625 | $684K | $1.05M | +53.6% |
| Tract 000667 | $673K | $1.03M | +53.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000340 | $634K | $883K | $693K |
| Tract 001284 | $728K | $924K | $722K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources