County 24984, MD · Census Tract 24984001509 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$785K
Downside (P10)
$408K
-48% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$751K
-4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+77% by 2030
Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -48% to +77%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24984 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $785K | $810K | $740K | $708K | $751K |
| YoY Change | +3.2% | -8.6% | -4.4% | +6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $498K | $433K | $406K | $408K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$591K to $1.00M
52.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$408K to $1.39M
130.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000623 | $788K | $752K | -4.6% |
| Tract 001305 | $789K | $838K | +6.2% |
| Tract 000762 | $790K | $754K | -4.5% |
| Tract 000429 | $775K | $751K | -3.2% |
| Tract 000843 | $799K | $756K | -5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001664 | $736K | $950K | +29.1% |
| Tract 000966 | $852K | $969K | +13.8% |
| Tract 000885 | $844K | $946K | +12.1% |
| Tract 001062 | $932K | $1.04M | +11.9% |
| Tract 001305 | $789K | $838K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000801 | $751K | $756K | $770K |
| Tract 000788 | $842K | $693K | $773K |
| Tract 000623 | $788K | $752K | $786K |
| Tract 001169 | $736K | $732K | $843K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources