County 24787, MD · Census Tract 24787005184 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$389K
Downside (P10)
$396K
+2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$535K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$719K
+85% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from +2% to +85%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24787 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $389K | $423K | $446K | $496K | $535K |
| YoY Change | +8.8% | +5.4% | +11.2% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $362K | $381K | $396K | |
| Upside (P90) | $503K | $573K | $622K | $719K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$349K to $442K
23.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$396K to $719K
60.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005346 | $387K | $515K | +33.0% |
| Tract 005922 | $386K | $498K | +29.1% |
| Tract 004389 | $384K | $552K | +43.8% |
| Tract 002624 | $396K | $522K | +32.0% |
| Tract 002187 | $402K | $474K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004321 | $339K | $516K | +52.1% |
| Tract 004004 | $315K | $479K | +52.0% |
| Tract 005427 | $327K | $492K | +50.5% |
| Tract 003461 | $427K | $631K | +47.6% |
| Tract 003649 | $370K | $543K | +46.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005825 | $300K | $421K | $209K |
| Tract 005126 | $292K | $383K | $214K |
| Tract 005728 | $296K | $385K | $221K |
| Tract 005841 | $335K | $437K | $230K |
| Tract 006125 | $312K | $417K | $230K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources