County 24367, MD · Census Tract 24367000761 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$473K
Downside (P10)
$410K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$663K
+40% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+135% by 2030
Base case: +40% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +135%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24367 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $473K | $535K | $562K | $605K | $663K |
| YoY Change | +13.3% | +4.9% | +7.8% | +9.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $431K | $396K | $407K | $410K | |
| Upside (P90) | $721K | $838K | $959K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$421K to $588K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$410K to $1.11M
105.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000444 | $472K | $673K | +42.5% |
| Tract 000703 | $467K | $658K | +40.8% |
| Tract 000062 | $467K | $682K | +46.3% |
| Tract 000664 | $466K | $633K | +35.9% |
| Tract 001003 | $465K | $607K | +30.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000868 | $465K | $706K | +51.8% |
| Tract 000062 | $467K | $682K | +46.3% |
| Tract 000583 | $465K | $679K | +46.1% |
| Tract 000266 | $461K | $658K | +42.7% |
| Tract 000444 | $472K | $673K | +42.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000981 | $464K | $618K | $421K |
| Tract 000266 | $461K | $658K | $475K |
| Tract 000101 | $450K | $540K | $492K |
| Tract 001003 | $465K | $607K | $493K |
| Tract 000305 | $460K | $632K | $536K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources