County 24770, MD · Census Tract 24770000727 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$4.80M
Downside (P10)
$1.55M
-68% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.76M
-42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.49M
-27% by 2030
Base case: -42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -68% to -27%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24770 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $4.8M | $4.4M | $3.7M | $3.0M | $2.8M |
| YoY Change | -7.4% | -17.6% | -17.1% | -9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $3.0M | $2.3M | $1.8M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $5.1M | $4.3M | $3.7M | $3.5M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$3.84M to $5.23M
29.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.55M to $3.49M
69.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000882 | $4.78M | $2.86M | -40.1% |
| Tract 001001 | $4.77M | $2.77M | -42.0% |
| Tract 000523 | $4.75M | $2.91M | -38.7% |
| Tract 001124 | $4.84M | $2.90M | -40.0% |
| Tract 000808 | $4.87M | $2.81M | -42.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000905 | $4.02M | $2.72M | -32.4% |
| Tract 000387 | $4.10M | $2.72M | -33.7% |
| Tract 000688 | $4.96M | $3.19M | -35.5% |
| Tract 000028 | $4.54M | $2.90M | -36.2% |
| Tract 000167 | $4.60M | $2.92M | -36.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000167 | $4.60M | $2.92M | $1.44M |
| Tract 001001 | $4.77M | $2.77M | $1.52M |
| Tract 000882 | $4.78M | $2.86M | $1.54M |
| Tract 001069 | $3.99M | $2.43M | $1.55M |
| Tract 000581 | $3.76M | $2.16M | $1.59M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources