County 24768, MD · Census Tract 24768113503 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$914K
Downside (P10)
$695K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$869K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.07M
+17% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +17%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 24768 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $914K | $903K | $855K | $858K | $869K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | -5.2% | +0.3% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $784K | $723K | $712K | $695K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$809K to $1.09M
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$695K to $1.07M
43.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 103128 | $921K | $972K | +5.5% |
| Tract 111822 | $921K | $800K | -13.2% |
| Tract 002261 | $907K | $878K | -3.2% |
| Tract 101146 | $928K | $811K | -12.6% |
| Tract 001026 | $938K | $923K | -1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109203 | $815K | $1.04M | +28.1% |
| Tract 001123 | $624K | $744K | +19.1% |
| Tract 101243 | $982K | $1.16M | +18.5% |
| Tract 103500 | $974K | $1.14M | +16.6% |
| Tract 001369 | $693K | $793K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources