County 24768, MD · Census Tract 24768111864 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$789K
Downside (P10)
$400K
-49% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$718K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+46% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -49% to +46%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24768 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $789K | $796K | $735K | $703K | $718K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | -7.7% | -4.3% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $500K | $395K | $367K | $400K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$578K to $979K
50.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$400K to $1.15M
104.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111220 | $786K | $763K | -3.0% |
| Tract 004324 | $794K | $673K | -15.3% |
| Tract 111149 | $782K | $730K | -6.6% |
| Tract 002423 | $781K | $708K | -9.4% |
| Tract 101081 | $777K | $725K | -6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109203 | $815K | $1.04M | +28.1% |
| Tract 001123 | $624K | $744K | +19.1% |
| Tract 101243 | $982K | $1.16M | +18.5% |
| Tract 103500 | $974K | $1.14M | +16.6% |
| Tract 001369 | $693K | $793K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources