County 24768, MD · Census Tract 24768100189 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$709K
Downside (P10)
$236K
-67% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$647K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.32M
+86% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -67% to +86%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24768 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $709K | $698K | $653K | $603K | $647K |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | -6.6% | -7.6% | +7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $326K | $270K | $236K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$521K to $941K
59.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$236K to $1.32M
167.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 103102 | $709K | $691K | -2.5% |
| Tract 002821 | $710K | $721K | +1.5% |
| Tract 100121 | $710K | $717K | +0.9% |
| Tract 001181 | $705K | $734K | +4.1% |
| Tract 002407 | $715K | $628K | -12.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109203 | $815K | $1.04M | +28.1% |
| Tract 001123 | $624K | $744K | +19.1% |
| Tract 101243 | $982K | $1.16M | +18.5% |
| Tract 103500 | $974K | $1.14M | +16.6% |
| Tract 001369 | $693K | $793K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources