County 24767, MD · Census Tract 24767509024 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$810K
Downside (P10)
$348K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$733K
-9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.32M
+63% by 2030
Base case: -9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +63%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24767 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $810K | $813K | $763K | $740K | $733K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | -6.2% | -3.0% | -0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $474K | $397K | $366K | $348K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$620K to $1.01M
47.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$348K to $1.32M
133.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 510068 | $782K | $747K | -4.5% |
| Tract 508300 | $842K | $812K | -3.5% |
| Tract 509309 | $848K | $985K | +16.1% |
| Tract 510165 | $857K | $980K | +14.3% |
| Tract 509325 | $758K | $792K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509309 | $848K | $985K | +16.1% |
| Tract 510165 | $857K | $980K | +14.3% |
| Tract 510262 | $608K | $674K | +10.9% |
| Tract 510220 | $643K | $710K | +10.4% |
| Tract 508643 | $629K | $678K | +7.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 509668 | $594K | $625K | $658K |
| Tract 510262 | $608K | $674K | $701K |
| Tract 508643 | $629K | $678K | $733K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources