County 24720, MD · Census Tract 24720014187 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.13M
Downside (P10)
$489K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$969K
-14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.70M
+50% by 2030
Base case: -14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +50%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24720 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $995K | $952K | $969K |
| YoY Change | +0.6% | -12.4% | -4.3% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $683K | $525K | $473K | $489K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$859K to $1.42M
49.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$489K to $1.70M
124.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000502 | $1.13M | $898K | -20.6% |
| Tract 014420 | $1.13M | $944K | -16.6% |
| Tract 011164 | $1.13M | $941K | -16.5% |
| Tract 010246 | $1.13M | $985K | -13.2% |
| Tract 010903 | $1.14M | $954K | -16.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 015500 | $1.11M | $1.06M | -3.7% |
| Tract 014145 | $1.01M | $969K | -4.0% |
| Tract 000447 | $1.01M | $965K | -4.6% |
| Tract 014365 | $1.01M | $929K | -7.7% |
| Tract 011562 | $1.15M | $1.06M | -8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 011627 | $1.07M | $912K | $850K |
| Tract 015225 | $1.04M | $908K | $852K |
| Tract 014242 | $1.16M | $920K | $868K |
| Tract 000803 | $1.15M | $954K | $876K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources