County 24705, MD · Census Tract 24705501783 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$694K
Downside (P10)
$378K
-46% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$656K
-5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+65% by 2030
Base case: -5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -46% to +65%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24705 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $694K | $734K | $667K | $642K | $656K |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | -9.1% | -3.7% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $486K | $376K | $350K | $378K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$566K to $885K
46.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$378K to $1.14M
116.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 501262 | $694K | $681K | -1.9% |
| Tract 502287 | $692K | $720K | +4.1% |
| Tract 502106 | $698K | $760K | +8.9% |
| Tract 502423 | $690K | $691K | +0.2% |
| Tract 500988 | $699K | $722K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | +59.6% |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | +47.6% |
| Tract 200327 | $824K | $1.17M | +42.5% |
| Tract 200563 | $727K | $987K | +35.7% |
| Tract 200806 | $756K | $1.02M | +35.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000200 | $236K | $377K | $259K |
| Tract 000488 | $241K | $355K | $271K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources